IMF has released a Staff position note: Fiscal implications of the global economic crisis. Conclusion of the note is simple the global fiscal outlook is somber. Present fiscal cost of the crises + aging populations in advanced economies will strongly contribute to increase in DEBT/GDP ratios in the future. Also this momentum may raise the question of fiscal solvency. What is then the next big thing?
a) rising inflation
b) fiscal insolvency
c) a+b
or c) (put here something optimistic) 
Wednesday, June 10, 2009
the global fiscal outlook is somber
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